Of element of exchange rate of near future influence do not be confined to interest rate, however money market is turbulent, this element comparatives again to American influence complex, and often " follow a heart and move " . After bad news of American finance orgnaization comes out, some people can catch a cold to the dollar in the market, they think by intuition American economy is met downhill, consumption and obtain employment can become poorer, make then decrease hold dollar much sheet to decide. But meanwhile, also meet some people make contrary operation, their reason is two commonly: It is abroad heat money or circumfluence, 2 to endanger or affect euro area. This year March, bei Ersi is ascended at that time " have an accident " , ever since the dollar falls all the way kill, achieve 7 years new low, at that time of the report of the market is undersell dollar. In quick succession of orgnaization of finance of United States of half an year has an accident recently, the market shows unilateral sex no longer to the report of the dollar, walk along the influence of situation to also be opposite hourly to the dollar. , for example, this week dollar goes broke to drop greatly for a time because of Lei Man, but pulled a many lost territory that day. This below Zhou Yu a few days, the United States will announce very important economic norms, like index of start working of new in August house, building permit sent to the limit of one's capacity, banner in August index in August, unemployed gold number is asked to wait at the beginning of last week. Save AIG or suppress yenThe United States announces to help American international group (after AIG) , US stock by drop change go up, yen by go up change drop. Yen add dollar comes Zhou San already was to drop two days repeatedly, but did not spit a Zhou Yiju to go up greatly. Of short duration of Alexandrine time yen signs up for Zhou San 105.75 pairs of 1 dollar, zhou Erji assembles remaining part at button dish receive 105.65 yen, zhou Yisheng is worth to 104.66, last week 5 it is only 107.94. RyoheiMuramatsu of director of group of bond of Asia of German commercial bank expresses: "Beautiful couplet store the message of skill lets investor feel comfort, yen suffers undersell accordingly. Yen suffers undersell accordingly.. This week ever achieved yen 10 years to come the biggest go up, because Lei Man goes bankrupt on the weekend,this is message, this message brings about market arbitrage interest to be decreased greatly, the message of Zhou Er AIG and just in time of Lei Man information are contrary, but yen goes up not be very big, this shows the market still worries to still can explode after AIG give some of unpredictable mine. From the point of this market state of mind, although yen short line takes word of AIG of situation be enslaved to be enslaved to, but central line becomes much yen risk or lesser, yen still can go strong. The photograph is more Euramerican orgnaization, hold of Japanese finance orgnaization second borrow relevant capital fund although gross is much, but be calculated more easily and transparent, hide landmine is less.
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